An introduction to the analysis of presidential candidates

A giant van named Scooby, which reminds me more of the van used on the old NBC show, Ironsidea logo that looks a lot like the Cuban flag, and a series of carefully astroturfed public appearances that nobody cared about.

An introduction to the analysis of presidential candidates

A consensus emerges on whether the incumbent deserves to be kept on, and the sitting president is either dismissed or, more often, reelected—and by a substantial margin. Bushhowever, won a second term in over Sen.

Kerry of Massachusetts by 3. Dean was knocked out in the first major event, the January 19 Iowa caucuses.

Kerry went on to win all but three Democratic primaries, sewing up the nomination by mid-March. Early on, independent candidate Ralph Nader appeared poised again to be a spoiler, but Democrats successfully kept him off the general-election ballot in 16 states.

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Kerry, JohnJohn Kerry, Bush pointed to significant domestic accomplishments during his first term: In contrast to Kerry, Bush also endorsed a constitutional amendment banning same-sex marriage, which energized religious and conservative voters.

Bush claimed the strategy was working and promised continuity. Kerry had been launched into politics by his opposition to the Vietnam War in the early s. His campaign settled on a strategy: This was the first election contested under the McCain-Feingold campaign-finance-reform legislation designed to reduce the role of money in politics.

By late August, when Republicans gathered in New York City for their convention, Bush had regained a significant polling lead. Moderate Republican stars, including California Gov. The strategy backfired when Bush appeared on the defensive, finding it difficult to explain his positions and often repeating himself.

Kerry, by contrast, spoke smoothly and authoritatively and, for the first time, emerged as a plausible alternative. Bush stepped up his game markedly in the second and third debates and thereby halted his slide in the polls and stabilized the race.

Potential voters in the 14 battlegrounds were bombarded with repeated candidate visits, saturation media advertising, and multiple phone calls and mail from both campaigns and allied groups. To all indications the country was heading toward a second consecutive 50—50 election, and both sides moved in the final days to turn out their voters.

Of the most closely watched battlegrounds, Pennsylvania went to Kerry by a small but comfortable margin.

An introduction to the analysis of presidential candidates

Florida, well organized by Gov. That left Ohio, ordinarily GOP-leaning but hard hit by manufacturing job losses, as the decisive major swing state. By Wednesday morning, however, the Bush advantage appeared insurmountable, and Kerry delivered a gracious concession speech.

Only three states switched colour from to New Hampshire went from red to blue, and Iowa and New Mexico shifted from blue to red. Bush won 8 of the 14 battleground states.

In the end Kerry and allies were wildly successful in turning out voters to oppose Bush. The Democrat won The GOP turnout effort was even better.

Targeting infrequent voters in suburban, exurban, and rural areas, Bush attracted Bush had surprised many analysts by pursuing an aggressive agenda following his narrow win.

Historical Election Results Electoral college and popular vote results in U.What is Citizens United? The short answer is it’s two different but related things: a Political Action Committee (PAC) in Washington, D.C., and a Supreme Court case about election spending in which the aforementioned PAC was the plaintiff.

Both lie at the center of .

Government: Executive Branch

Differences in General Election Poll Accuracy by Survey Design A hallmark of the current election polling era is the tremendous variation in how polls are designed and conducted. A total of 18 seats out of the 34 seats in the Missouri State Senate were up for election in No changes occurred to the partisan balance of the chamber.

Missouri state senators serve staggered, four-year terms and half of . Introduction: How to become President of the United States - a poster ( "The United States presidential election of is the next United States presidential election, to be held on Tuesday, November 6, It will be the 57th quadrennial presidential election in which presidential electors, who will actually elect the President and the Vice President of the.

Compilation of Presidential Documents - to date, updated weekly (U.S. Government Publishing Office); Public Papers of the President - From to the latest published volume (U.S. Government Publishing Office); Public Papers of the Presidents (UC Santa Barbara American Presidency Project); Public Papers of the Presidents of .

United States Presidential Election of On November 4, , after a campaign that lasted nearly two years, Americans elected Illinois senator Barack Obama their 44th president.

The result was historic, as Obama, a first-term U.S.

An introduction to the analysis of presidential candidates

senator, became, when he was inaugurated on January 20, , the country’s first African American.

The United States Presidential Election - ESL Resources